Governor Nasir El-Rufai of Kaduna State says that the presidential candidate of the Labour Party, Peter Obi, will not win the presidential election.
He believes that the opinion polls showing Mr. Obi’s lead are not accurate and unreliable, as the sample size was too small.
Governor El-Rufai claims that a more reliable poll conducted by his team showed a close contest between the Peoples Democratic Party and the All Progressives Congress, with a large percentage of undecided voters.
He argues that Obi doesn’t have the support of enough states, as he is only polling well in a few southeastern and South-south states and in some Christian enclaves in the North. He also accuses the Labour Party campaign of relying on ethnicity and religious bigotry, which he says will not get them anywhere.
“I was a teaching assistant for statistics, I understand it. I am not talking as a politician or a layman. The most important thing in looking at any opinion poll is the sample followed by the methodology.
“When you have hundreds of millions of registered voters and you are sampling three thousand registered voters, your results are unreliable, will have a high margin of errors and most of these polls (predicting Peter Obi as the winner of the election) are like that,” El-Rufai said in an interview with TVC News.
Source: The Guardian
